The Diamondbacks have shocked the baseball world again, winning Game 6 against the Phillies to keep their MLB playoff run alive. Of the four teams to make the AL and NL championship series, the Dbacks were the least touted and have been the surprise team in the MLB postseason.
Let’s take a look at odds, props and predictions for NLCS Game 7, set for 8:07 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park.
The Dbacks send out rookie starting pitcher Brandon Pfaadt, who pitched a gem in the team’s Game 3 win. The Phillies will counter with Ranger Suarez, who has quietly been one of the best pitchers in MLB during the postseason.
The Phillies’ lineup was hot to start the series, but Arizona kept the bats in check in Game 6. Can Philadelphia turn it around in Game 7 to get back to the World Series? Or will the Dbacks continue to shock baseball fans and sports bettors everywhere with their incredible playoff run? One thing is for sure: We have everything you need to know about this pivotal NLCS Game 7.
Odds for Diamondbacks vs. Phillies NLCS Game 7
Unsurprisingly, the Phillies open as NLCS Game 7 favorites; they are playing at home and will go with Ranger Suarez, who has only allowed one run through three starts in the playoffs. Check out the live odds below for the pivotal NLCS Game 7 from top sports betting sites.
NLCS series price history
The NLCS series price has fluctuated as the series has gone back and forth. The movement has mostly involved Arizona’s odds getting shorter as the team has fought to keep the series competitive after being down two games to none and three to two.
With a final game left to decide the NL representative in the World Series, the odds for the series winner are as close as they have been at any time in the NLCS. The series price closed around Phillies -185 ahead of Game 1.
Also read: World Series MVP odds
Arizona Diamondbacks betting news
The good news for the Diamondbacks: Arizona gets to play at least one more game this MLB postseason. The Dbacks were among the two teams with the longest odds to win the World Series at the start of the playoffs. Now they are one win away from being one of two teams left this postseason.
We said in our NLCS Game 6 preview that the Dbacks had two options for how to attack Game 6. Either Merrill Kelly needed to outduel Aaron Nola or the offense needed to knock Nola out of the game early and attack the Philadelphia bullpen. Well, we were wrong. Kelly did in fact outduel Nola, and the Dbacks offense did damage against Nola and the Phillies bullpen.
Where does that leave the game plan for Game 7 of the NLCS? Well, it is simple: Try to produce some runs by any means necessary. Then hope that Brandon Pfaadt can replicate his Game 3 start and give Arizona five-plus solid innings of pitching to give them a chance to make the World Series.
Philadelphia Phillies betting news
The Phillies’ plan for Game 7 should be simple: Throw away any disappointment from Game 6 or squandering opportunities to win in one-run losses in Games 3 or 4. Attack Game 7, swing free, get the long ball going again and lean on the strong pitching in the bullpen.
Ranger Suarez has not gone more than 5.1 innings in any of his three playoff starts. Don’t expect him to go any further than six innings in Game 7. As soon as he gets into trouble, the leash will be short as the Phillies bullpen is pretty fresh and has been the best bullpen of any team this MLB postseason.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies player props for NLCS Game 7
There are some really solid player prop odds for NLCS Game 7 at BetMGM Sportsbook.
NLCS Game 7 pitching props
- Brandon Pfaadt
- 4.5 Strikeouts over (+105) / under (-140)
- 1.5 Earned runs over (-135) / under (-105)
- 11.5 Outs recorded over(-110) / under (-125)
- Ranger Suarez
- 2.5 Strikeouts over (-185) / under (+140)
- 1.5 Earned runs over (-110) / under (-130)
- 10.5 Outs recorded over(-140) / under (+100)
NLCS Game 7 batting props
- Bryce Harper
- 0.5 Hits over (-200) / under (+155)
- 0.5 RBIs over (+165) / under (-225)
- 0.5 runs over (+100) / under (-135)
- Christian Walker
- 0.5 Hits over (-185) / under (+135)
- 0.5 RBIs over (+170) / under (-225)
- 0.5 runs over (+120) / under (-160)
- Corbin Carroll
- 0.5 Hits over (-225) / under (+165)
- 0.5 RBIs over (+250) / under (-350)
- 0.5 runs over (+140) / under (-185)
- Nick Castellanos
- 0.5 Hits over (-155) / under (+115)
- 0.5 RBIs over (+200) / under (-275)
- 0.5 runs over (+170) / under (-225)
- Trea Turner
- 0.5 Hits over (-275) / under (+200)
- 0.5 RBIs over (+160) / under (-210)
- 0.5 runs over (-115) / under (-110)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction: Phillies protect home field and get back to World Series
Arizona has fought nobly, but Philadelphia is the more talented roster top to bottom. The Diamondbacks’ Cinderella run likely ends here.
In the postseason, Brandon Pfaadt has pitched two of his best games of the year. Pfaadt had a regular season ERA of 5.72, but give him credit: He has not given up a single run in his last two starts. Can he do that for a third start in a row for Arizona? Dbacks fans are surely hoping so, but his regular season stats tell a different story.
The Phillies bats will not be cold two games in a row, and Bryce Harper & Co. are likely heading to their second World Series in as many seasons.