Grading the 2022 NFL mock drafts: How did Mel Kiper, Daniel Jeremiah, Todd McShay, Peter King & other experts fare?

By | April 29, 2022

Pencils down!

The first round of the 2022 NFL Draft has come and gone, as have the plethora of mock drafts which have inundated the adoring draft public since the minute Super Bowl 56 ended are, finally, dead and buried.

The wildly entertaining and trade-heavy first-round of the 2022 draft led to some mock drafts getting crushed faster than many March Madness brackets — but that still won’t preclude the experts from getting graded here.

Mock drafts are a fun exercise, generally: It’s less about predicting and more about giving people legitimate talking points leading up to the draft. Still, guesstimating is a part of the process, and experts maintain “expert” status by getting these things right, after all.

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So, how did the following draft savants pan out? Let’s grade them. The following experts got points for the following:

  • One full point for correct player, pick and team;
  • One half point for correct player and pick, but incorrect team;
  • One half point for correct player and team, but incorrect pick.

Here’s how they all graded out:

Vinnie Iyer’s mock draft (The Sporting News)

Iyer’s final mock draft was released April 28:

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Jacksonville Jaguars Travon Walker EDGE Georgia
2 Detroit Lions Aidan Hutchinson EDGE Michigan
3 Houston Texans Evan Neal OT Alabama
4 New York Jets Kayvon Thibodeaux EDGE Oregon
5 New York Giants Ikem Ekwonu OT/G N.C. State
6 Carolina Panthers Malik Willis QB Liberty
7 New York Giants (from CHI) Sauce Gardner CB Cincinnati
8 Atlanta Falcons Garrett Wilson WR Ohio State
9 Seattle Seahawks (from DEN) Charles Cross OT Mississippi State
10 New York Jets (from SEA) Jameson Williams WR Alabama
11 Washington Commanders Chris Olave WR Ohio State
12 Minnesota Vikings Derek Stingley Jr. CB LSU
13 Houston Texans (from CLE) Jermaine Johnson II EDGE Florida State
14 Baltimore Ravens Jordan Davis DT Georgia
15 Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA) Drake London WR USC
16 New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI) Trevor Penning OT Northern Iowa
17 Los Angeles Chargers Tyler Smith G Tulsa
18 Philadelphia Eagles (from NO) Kyle Hamilton S Notre Dame
19 New Orleans Saints (from PHI) George Karlaftis EDGE Purdue
20 Pittsburgh Steelers Kenny Pickett QB Pittsburgh
21 New England Patriots Devin Lloyd LB Utah
22 Green Bay Packers (from LV) Treylon Burks WR Arkansas
23 Arizona Cardinals Devonte Wyatt DT/DE Georgia
24 Dallas Cowboys Zion Johnson G Boston College
25 Buffalo Bills Andrew Booth Jr. CB Clemson
26 Tennessee Titans Kenyon Green G Texas A&M
27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tyler Linderbaum C Iowa
28 Green Bay Packers Boye Mafe EDGE Minnesota
29 Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA) Jahan Dotson WR Penn State
30 Kansas City Chiefs Nakobe Dean LB Georgia
31 Cincinnati Bengals Trent McDuffie CB Washington
32 Detroit Lions (from LAR) Desmond Ridder QB Cincinnati

Picks correct: 5/32

Noteworthy: The wildly unpredictable first round manifested itself on Thursday night — SN’s Vinnie Iyer did have Charles Cross to the Seahawks, Trevor Penning to the Saints and Kenny Pickett to the Steelers beyond the top picks.

Mel Kiper Jr.’s mock draft (ESPN)

Kiper’s latest mock draft was released April 28:

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Jacksonville Jaguars Travon Walker DE Georgia
2 Detroit Lions Aidan Hutchinson DE Michigan
3 Houston Texans Ikem Ekwonu OT N.C. State
4 New York Jets Sauce Gardner CB Cincinnati
5 New York Giants Charles Cross OT Mississippi State
6 Carolina Panthers Evan Neal OT Alabama
7 New York Giants (from CHI) Jermaine Johnson II DE Florida State
8 Atlanta Falcons Garrett Wilson WR Ohio State
9 Seattle Seahawks (from DEN) Derek Stingley Jr. CB LSU
10 New York Jets (from SEA) Drake London WR USC
11 Washington Commanders Chris Olave WR Ohio State
12 Minnesota Vikings Kayvon Thibodeaux DE Oregon
13 Houston Texans (from CLE) Kyle Hamilton S Notre Dame
14 Baltimore Ravens Jordan Davis DT Georgia
15 Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA) Jameson Williams WR Alabama
16 New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI) Trevor Penning OT Northern Iowa
17 Los Angeles Chargers Devin Lloyd ILB Utah
18 Philadelphia Eagles (from NO) Trent McDuffie CB Washington
19 New Orleans Saints (from PHI) Kenny Pickett QB Pitt
20 Pittsburgh Steelers Malik Willis QB Liberty
21 New England Patriots Daxton Hill S Michigan
22 Green Bay Packers (from LV) Kenyon Green G Texas A&M
23 Arizona Cardinals Zion Johnson G/C Boston College
24 Dallas Cowboys Tyler Smith OT/G Tulsa
25 Buffalo Bills Kaiir Elam CB Florida
26 Tennessee Titans Jahan Dotson WR Penn State
27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Devonte Wyatt DT Georgia
28 Green Bay Packers Christian Watson WR North Dakota State
29 Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA) Skyy Moore WR Western Michigan
30 Kansas City Chiefs Arnold Ebiketie DE Penn State
31 Cincinnati Bengals George Karlaftis DE Purdue
32 Detroit Lions (from LAR) Lewis Cine S Georgia

Picks correct: 4.5/32

Noteworthy: Kiper did have Kaiir Elam to the Bills — just at No. 23 overall, and not No. 25, where the Bills would ultimately make that pick. With some half-credit selections surrounding Elam, Lewis Cine (No. 32), Trevor Penning (No.  and Chris Olave (No. 11).

Todd McShay’s mock draft (ESPN)

McShay’s latest mock draft was released April 28:

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Jacksonville Jaguars Travon Walker DE Georgia
2 Detroit Lions Aidan Hutchinson DE Michigan
3 Houston Texans Derek Stingley Jr. CB LSU
4 New York Jets Ikem Ekwonu OT N.C. State
5 New York Giants Charles Cross OT Mississippi State
6 Carolina Panthers Evan Neal OT Alabama
7 New York Giants (from CHI) Sauce Gardner CB Cincinnati
8 Atlanta Falcons Kayvon Thibodeaux DE Oregon
9 Seattle Seahawks (from DEN) Jermaine Johnson II DE Florida State
10 New York Jets (from SEA) Garrett Wilson WR Ohio State
11 Washington Commanders Drake London WR USC
12 Minnesota Vikings Kyle Hamilton S Notre Dame
13 Dallas Cowboys (from CLE via HOU) Trevor Penning OT Northern Iowa
14 Baltimore Ravens Jordan Davis DT Georgia
15 Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA) Jameson Williams WR Alabama
16 New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI) Chris Olave WR Ohio State
17 Los Angeles Chargers Kaiir Elam CB Florida
18 Philadelphia Eagles (from NO) Trent McDuffie CB Washington
19 New Orleans Saints (from PHI) Devonte Wyatt DT Georgia
20 Pittsburgh Steelers Malik Willis QB Liberty
21 New England Patriots Devin Lloyd ILB Utah
22 Green Bay Packers (from LV) Treylon Burks WR Arkansas
23 Arizona Cardinals Jahan Dotson WR Penn State
24 Houston Texans (from DAL) Tyler Smith OT/G Tulsa
25 Buffalo Bills Breece Hall RB Iowa State
26 Tennessee Titans Zion Johnson C/G Boston College
27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Kenyon Green G Texas A&M
28 Green Bay Packers Lewis Cine S Georgia
29 Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA) Daxton Hill S Michigan
30 Kansas City Chiefs George Pickens WR Georgia
31 Cincinnati Bengals Quay Walker LB Georgia
32 Detroit Lions (from LAR) Kenny Pickett QB Pitt

Picks correct: 4.5/32

Noteworthy: McShay, one of the only mock drafts who had Tyler Smith going in the first round, had the player and the pick right — but not the team. The Cowboys, who needed O-line help, would take Smith in the first round, not the Texans as he predicted.

Daniel Jeremiah’s mock draft (NFL Network)

Jeremiah’s latest mock draft was released April 27:

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Jacksonville Jaguars Travon Walker EDGE Georgia
2 Detroit Lions Aidan Hutchinson EDGE Michigan
3 Houston Texans Ikem Ekwonu OT N.C. State
4 New York Jets Sauce Gardner CB Cincinnati
5 New York Giants Evan Neal OT Alabama
6 Carolina Panthers Charles Cross OT Mississippi State
7 New York Giants (from CHI) Garrett Wilson WR Ohio State
8 Atlanta Falcons Jameson Williams WR Alabama
9 New York Jets (from DEN via SEA) Drake London WR USC
10 Seattle Seahawks (from NYJ) Kayvon Thibodeaux EDGE Oregon
11 Washington Commanders Chris Olave WR Ohio State
12 Minnesota Vikings Derek Stingley Jr. CB LSU
13 Houston Texans (from CLE) Jermaine Johnson II EDGE Florida State
14 Baltimore Ravens Jordan Davis DT Georgia
15 Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA) Kyle Hamilton S Notre Dame
16 New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI) Trevor Penning OT Northern Iowa
17 Los Angeles Chargers Kaiir Elam CB Florida
18 Philadelphia Eagles (from NWO) Trent McDuffie CB Washington
19 New Orleans Saints (from PHI) Devin Lloyd LB Utah
20 Pittsburgh Steelers Kennny Pickett QB Pitt
21 New England Patriots Zion Johnson IOL Boston College
22 Green Bay Packers (from LV) Treylon Burks WR Arkansas
23 Arizona Cardinals George Karlaftis EDGE Purdue
24 Dallas Cowboys Jahan Dotson WR Penn State
25 Buffalo Bills Breece Hall RB Iowa State
26 Tennessee Titans Tyler Smith OT Tulsa
27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Logan Hall DL Houston
28 Green Bay Packers Quay Walker LB Georgia
29 Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA) Boye Mafe EDGE Minnesota
30 Kansas City Chiefs George Pickens WR Georgia
31 Cincinnati Bengals David Ojabo EDGE Michigan
32 Detroit Lions (from LAR) Malik Willis QB Liberty

Picks correct: 5/32

Noteworthy: Jeremiah was one of a few mocks listed here who had Kenny Pickett going to the Steelers. He also gets half credit for having Trevor Penning landing with the Saints, just at No. 16, not number 19.

Charles Davis’ mock draft (NFL Network)

Davis’ latest mock draft was released April 28:

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Jacksonville Jaguars Travon Walker DL Georgia
2 Detroit Lions Aidan Hutchinson EDGE Michigan
3 Houston Texans Ikem Ekwonu OT N.C. State
4 New York Jets Sauce Gardner CB Cincinnati
5 New York Giants Charles Cross OT Mississippi State
6 Carolina Panthers Evan Neal OT Alabama
7 New York Giants (via CHI) Kayvon Thibodeaux EDGE Oregon
8 Atlanta Falcons Jermaine Johnson II EDGE Florida State
9 Seattle Seahawks (from DEN) Derek Stingley Jr. CB LSU
10 New York Jets (from SEA) Drake London WR USC
11 Washington Commanders Garrett Wilson WR Ohio State
12 Minnesota Vikings Trent McDuffie CB Washington
13 Houston Texans (from CLE) Kyle Hamilton S Notre Dame
14 Baltimore Ravens Jordan Davis DT Georgia
15 Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA) Jameson Williams WR Alabama
16 New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI) Trevor Penning OT Northern Iowa
17 Los Angeles Chargers Devonte Wyatt DT Georgia
18 Philadelphia Eagles (from NO) Andrew Booth CB Clemson
19 New Orleans Saints (from PHI) Chris Olave WR Ohio State
20 Pittsburgh Steelers Malik Willis QB Liberty
21 New England Patriots Devin Lloyd LB Utah
22 Green Bay Packers (from LV) Jahan Dotson WR Penn State
23 Arizona Cardinals Treylon Burks WR Arkansas
24 Dallas Cowboys Kenyon Green IOL Texas A&M
25 Buffalo Bills Breece Hall RB Iowa State
26 Tennessee Titans Zion Johnson IOL Boston College
27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Kaiir Elam CB Florida
28 Green Bay Packers George Karlaftis EDGE Purdue
29 Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA) Daxton Hill S Michigan
30 Kansas City Chiefs Skyy Moore WR Western Michigan
31 Cincinnati Bengals Kyler Gordon CB Washington
32 Detroit Lions (from LAR) Kenny Pickett QB Pittsburgh

Picks correct: 4.5/32

Noteworthy: Davis was oh so close to getting a few extra points for the Saints’ picks — New Orleans’ trade-up to No. 11 overall to secure Chris Olave means he gets half credit for that selection, and taking Trevor Penning at No. 16 as opposed to No. 19 also earns half credit. 

Dane Brugler’s mock draft (The Athletic)

Brugler’s latest mock draft was released April 28:

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Jacksonville Jaguars Travon Walker EDGE Georgia
2 Detroit Lions Aidan Hutchinson EDGE Michigan
3 Houston Texans Derek Stingley Jr. CB LSU
4 New York Jets Ikem Ekwonu OT N.C. State
5 New York Giants Evan Neal OT Alabama
6 Carolina Panthers Charles Cross OT Mississippi State
7 New York Giants (from CHI) Sauce Gardner CB Cincinnati
8 Atlanta Falcons Jameson Williams WR Alabama
9 Seattle Seahawks (from DEN) Kayvon Thibodeaux EDGE Oregon
10 New York Jets (from SEA) Jermaine Johnson II EDGE Florida State
11 Washington Commanders Drake London WR USC
12 Minnesota Vikings Kyle Hamilton S Notre Dame
13 Houston Texans (from CLE) Garrett Wilson WR Ohio State
14 Baltimore Ravens Trevor Penning OT Northern Iowa
15 Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA) Jordan Davis DT Georgia
16 New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI) Chris Olave WR Ohio State
17 Los Angeles Chargers Zion Johnson OG Boston College
18 Philadelphia Eagles (from NO) Trent McDuffie CB Washington
19 New Orleans Saints (from PHI) Quay Walker LB Georgia
20 Pittsburgh Steelers Kenny Pickett QB Pitt
21 New England Patriots Devin Lloyd LB Utah
22 Green Bay Packers Treylon Burks WR Arkansas
23 Arizona Cardinals George Karlaftis EDGE Purdue
24 Dallas Cowboys Kenyon Green OG Texas A&M
25 Buffalo Bills Kaiir Elam CB Florida
26 Tennessee Titans Jahan Dotson WR Penn State
27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Lewis Cine S Georgia
28 Green Bay Packers Drake Jackson EDGE USC
29 Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA) Christian Watson WR North Dakota State
30 Kansas City Chiefs Boye Mafe EDGE Minnesota
31 Cincinnati Bengals Logan Hall DL Houston
32 Detroit Lions (from LAR) Malik Willis QB Liberty

Picks correct: 6.5/32

Noteworthy: Brugler with a relatively strong showing, though a lot of that came from half-point picks, including the Jets taking Jermaine Johnson at No. 10 (New York traded back into the first round to select the pass rusher at No. 26).  

Peter King, NBC Sports

Peter King’s mock draft was released on Monday, April 25.

Pick Team Player Position School
1 Jacksonville Jaguars Travon Walker DL Georgia
2 Detroit Lions Aidan Hutchinson EDGE Michigan
3 Houston Texans Ikem Ekwonu OT NC State
4 New York Jets Sauce Gardner CB Cincinnati
5 New York Giants Charles Cross OT Mississippi State
6 Carolina Panthers Evan Neal OT Alabama
7 New York Giants (from CHI) Kyle Hamilton S Notre Dame
8 Atlanta Falcons Drake London WR USC
9 Houston Texans (from DEN via SEA) Garrett Wilson WR Ohio State
10 New York Jets (from SEA) Jameson Williams WR Alabama
11 Washington Commanders Chris Olave WR Ohio State
12 Minnesota Vikings Derek Stingley CB LSU
13 Seattle Seahawks (from CLE via HOU) Kayvon Thibodeaux EDGE Oregon
14 Baltimore Ravens Trevor Penning OT Northern Iowa
15 Philadelphia Eagles (from MIA) Jordan Davis DT Georgia
16 New Orleans Saints (from IND via PHI) Treylon Burks WR Arkansas
17 Los Angeles Chargers Trent McDuffie CB Washington
18 Green Bay Packers (from NO via PHI) Jahan Dotson WR Penn State
19 New Orleans Saints (from PHI) Devonte Wyatt DT Georgia
20 Pittsburgh Steelers Kenny Pickett QB Pittsburgh
21 New England Patriots Bernhard Raimann OT Central Michigan
22 Philadelphia Eagles (from GB) Devin Lloyd LB Utah
23 Arizona Cardinals Jermaine Johnson EDGE Florida State
24 Dallas Cowboys Tyler Linderbaum C Iowa
25 Buffalo Bills Zion Johnson OL Boston College
26 Tennessee Titans Tyler Smith OT Tulsa
27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers David Ojabo EDGE Michigan
28 Green Bay Packers Arnold Ebiketie EDGE Penn State
29 Kansas City Chiefs (from SF via MIA) Christian Watson WR North Dakota State
30 Kansas City Chiefs Lewis Cine S Georgia
31 Cincinnati Bengals Trey McBride TE Colorado State
32 Atlanta Falcons (from LAR via DET) Matt Corral QB Ole Miss

Picks correct: 7/32

Noteworthy: The reigning, defending mock-draft master is back again, as King once again sets the high-water mark for correct picks in the first round.

Some of those were half-point picks, like Jordan Davis and Chris Olave. Still, King had the most right of anyone here, truly living up to his last name.

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